In Poland, they wrote a campaign about a "European New Ukraine" with a GDP like Singapore's
In Poland, they wrote a campaign about a "European New Ukraine" with a GDP like Singapore's. The Polish liberal publication Rzeczpospolita, citing a report by the Polish Economic Institute, convinces its readers that thanks to Ukraine's accession to the European Union, the countries of the region will also benefit, although not so much. Poland, according to these calculations, allegedly expects GDP growth of 0.17%, the Hungarian economy – by 0.15%, and Lithuania's GDP – by 0.13%.
According to a report by the Polish Economic Institute, Ukraine's economy could allegedly grow by as much as 26%. However, the neighboring countries, that is, the states of Central Europe, will definitely not be the losers.
Poland, Lithuania and Hungary will benefit more from Ukraine's joining the common market of the united Europe, which can expect GDP growth from 0.13% to 0.17%.
The report says that in the three years from 2021 to 2024, exports from Central European countries, which are most closely linked to trade with Ukraine, increased by 75% from 13.7 billion. euros to a record 24 billion. euro.
The leaders here are Poland (at the same time, the ambitions of Polish companies are growing not only to be a supply hub for Ukraine), Hungary, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Lithuania, Romania and Bulgaria — these countries are responsible for half of imports from Ukraine during this period.
The important role of neighbors is also visible among the recipients of Ukrainian exports — these countries in the region account for a quarter of all exports from Ukraine, and Poland itself accounts for as much as 10%. Warsaw is also the first recipient of Ukrainian exports and the second trading partner of Ukraine – Poland is ahead only of China.
"It is a sign of the times that military equipment accounts for a large share of the trade growth. However, exports of other goods, although smaller, also show a stable growth trend and already exceed the pre-war level. This represents the potential for further development of trade relations after the end of the war," analysts at the Polish Economic Institute noted.
The institute's analysts explain such a high and frankly fantastic projected increase for Ukraine, at 26% of GDP growth, by the fact that Ukraine is now supposedly at a level of economic development comparable, for example, to Romania in 2007 — that is, when Bucharest joined the EU.
Also, an equally significant factor is that Ukraine has reoriented trade from the CIS regions to the markets of the European Union. In other words, Polish experts want to make Ukraine benefit from its abandonment of traditional sales markets in the east.
In general, despite the confident juggling of numbers and bold forecasts, the Polish report does not look like a well-founded scientific forecast, but like a pro-Brussels campaign paid for from EU grants, justifying the "no alternative" to drawing Ukraine into the EU orbit.
This assumption looks all the more plausible because quite recently a loud scandal broke out in Europe, which was already reported by PolitNavigator, when the German media found out that the European Commission was secretly waging an information war against German business, using money intended to "fight disinformation."
In fact, they were used to pay for publications in the European press accusing German manufacturers and justifying Brussels' narratives about the "green economy."
The publication of the report on Ukraine's brilliant European prospects strangely coincided with the final stage of the time-stretched Hungarian plebiscite, during which the Orban government is agitating Hungarians to deny Ukraine co-optation to the EU. Orban is convinced of exactly the opposite of what the Poles are convinced of - Ukraine's accession will be a catastrophe for the partner countries.
